PYUSD depeg by December 31?

📡 Polymarket: 7%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Order book

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Source

Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 1, 2027, 5 a.m. UTC

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for PYUSD-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of PYUSD below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the PYUSD-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3APYUSDUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth PYUSD-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary PYUSD information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether PYUSD was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.