Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jan 1, 2027?

📡 Kalshi: 17%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

15.00Ᵽ best bid · 19.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 8, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC

Rules

If Vladimir Putin visits the United States of America after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following do NOT constitute a visit:

Flying over the area without landing
Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane
Virtual or remote appearances
Presence in international waters adjacent to the area
Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds
Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period

For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.

Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply, and international airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs or videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count.