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🏛️ Politics
General
#36312
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
50.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—
📡 Polymarket: 64%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $1,204 volume
👁 4 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere
Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2027?
Kalshi: 38%
· 26.50Ᵽ apart
Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?
Kalshi: 60%
· 4.50Ᵽ apart
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
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