Will the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places be at least 38% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

📡 Kalshi: 62%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 25, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 38% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The value is the Student List - Students Win percentage of valid votes in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election. It is calculated as 100 × the list’s vote count divided by the total valid-ballot count in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places, with exact halfway values rounded up. Preliminary or partial tallies do not qualify. A displayed percentage calculated using all ballots cast is not used; invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from this market’s denominator.

This explicitly selects the nationwide general report under POLITICALSTAT’s release-selection provision. Later revisions, corrections or updates to that report do not affect resolution. If no qualifying report is released by expiration, the contract’s last-fair-price rule applies.