Will Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 be below 18.0%?

Call Yes 54Ᵽ Call No 46Ᵽ

54.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

52.00Ᵽ – 56.00Ᵽ

Call No

44.00Ᵽ – 48.00Ᵽ

📡 Kalshi: 54%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

52.00Ᵽ best bid · 56.00Ᵽ best ask

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $1,275 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 3 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

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Bids

10.00 52.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 48.00Ᵽ · if correct: +520.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −480.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 56.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 56.00Ᵽ · if correct: +440.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −560.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 31, 2027, 2:59 p.m. UTC
Rules: If Cushman & Wakefield reports that Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 is below

18.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the Manhattan overall vacancy rate reported in Cushman & Wakefield’s Q4 2026 Manhattan Office MarketBeat, covering the overall Manhattan office market. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

For reference, the same metric was 21.1% in Q4 2025, 19.9% in Q1 2026, and 19.3% in Q2 2026.

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