US military draft authorized in 2026?

3.15Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

1.20Ᵽ – 5.20Ᵽ

Call No

94.80Ᵽ – 98.80Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 2%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

1.20Ᵽ best bid · 5.20Ᵽ best ask

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $525,568 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 3 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Bids

10.00 1.20Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 98.80Ᵽ · if correct: +12.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −988.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 5.20Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 5.20Ᵽ · if correct: +948.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −52.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.