Will the Department of War or the White House announce an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027?

📡 Kalshi: 20%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If the Department of War or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The designation refers to the Department of War's supply-chain-risk designations of Anthropic under 41 U.S.C. 4713 and 10 U.S.C. 3252. An action qualifies only if, as a result, the Department of War or its contractors are permitted to use Anthropic's AI models or services in Department of War work. A rescission qualifies only if no designation then bars that use. A waiver or modification that permits such use for some Department of War programs or contractors qualifies, as does an official Department of War or White House authorization permitting any Department of War component or contractor to use an Anthropic AI model in Department of War work, even if a designation otherwise remains in effect. An action that permits use only by civilian federal agencies does not qualify. A court ruling alone does not qualify unless the Department of War or the White House officially announces an action that permits such use.