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Open ₿ Crypto General #38470
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Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?

Call Yes 7Ᵽ Call No 93Ᵽ
7.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
4.50Ᵽ – 8.50Ᵽ
Call No
91.50Ᵽ – 95.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

4.50Ᵽ best bid · 8.50Ᵽ best ask

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $3,478 volume
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 4 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Will Ethereum have a positive return in 2026? Kalshi: 18% · 11.50Ᵽ apart

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Order book

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Bids
10.00 4.50Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 95.50Ᵽ · if correct: +45.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −955.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 8.50Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 8.50Ᵽ · if correct: +915.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −85.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized AAVE TVL datapoint has a value lower than the TVL specified in the title on any day between the date of this market's creation and December 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the Aave page available at https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/, with TVL displayed in USD on the daily chart.

The TVL value used for resolution will be the “TVL” value displayed for each daily bar.

A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published.

If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used.

If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

Comments

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