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Open 🏛️ Politics General #3855
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Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Call Yes 10Ᵽ Call No 90Ᵽ
10.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
8.30Ᵽ – 12.30Ᵽ
Call No
87.70Ᵽ – 91.70Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

8.30Ᵽ best bid · 12.30Ᵽ best ask

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $32,465 volume
💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 3 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book

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Bids
10.00 8.30Ᵽ Log in
Call No 10.00 @ 91.70Ᵽ · if correct: +83.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −917.00Ᵽ
Asks
10.00 12.30Ᵽ Log in
Call Yes 10.00 @ 12.30Ᵽ · if correct: +877.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −123.00Ᵽ

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Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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