Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

86.50Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

89.00Ᵽ – 93.00Ᵽ

Call No

7.00Ᵽ – 11.00Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 90%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

89.00Ᵽ best bid · 93.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $26,002 volume · $1,510 liquidity

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

Loading…

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

Log in to trade this market.

Loading…

Bids

10.00 89.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 11.00Ᵽ · if correct: +890.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −110.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 93.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 93.00Ᵽ · if correct: +70.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −930.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Feb. 28, 2027, midnight
Rules: This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.