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🏛️ Politics
General
#38924
🎯 One of 7 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 7 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 7 candidates »
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
0.25Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—
📡 Polymarket: 0%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $4,491 volume
👁 3 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere
Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.
Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister of New Zealand before Nov 7, 2026?
Kalshi: 20%
· 19.85Ᵽ apart
Price history
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Polymarket (indicative)
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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