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#39148
🎯 One of 4 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 4 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 4 candidates »
Will Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for 2026 be above 10.2 million?
3.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Kalshi: 3%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $7,721 volume
👁 3 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026 is above
10.2 million, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Underlying is total statewide visitor arrivals for calendar year 2026, including visitors arriving by air and visitors arriving aboard out-of-state cruise ships, as reported by the State of Hawaii. It does not use visitor days, average daily census, airport passenger throughput, or arrivals to an individual island. Visitors who fly to Hawaii to board a cruise ship are already included in air arrivals and are not separately added again.
Resolution uses the first publication containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution. DBEDT’s 2025 total, for example, was 9,642,991 = 9,493,213 by air + 149,778 by cruise ship.
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