Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration before Nov 1, 2026?

📡 Kalshi: 14%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

What do you think happened?

0 say Yes 0 say No — this doesn't decide anything by itself; an admin still makes the final call.

Log in to suggest an outcome.

Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 1, 2026, 3:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If Tulsi Gabbard joins the Presidential Administration before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Tulsi Gabbard "joins" the Presidential Administration if ANY of the following occurs after Issuance and is publicly announced before the date specified in the market:

The President formally submits Tulsi Gabbard's nomination to the U.S. Senate for any position requiring Senate confirmation (PAS position);
Tulsi Gabbard is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to any position;
Tulsi Gabbard receives a direct presidential appointment to any position that does not require Senate confirmation (including but not limited to White House staff positions, senior advisors, counselors, assistants to the President, or any position within the Executive Office of the President);
Tulsi Gabbard receives a recess appointment to any position;
Tulsi Gabbard is designated to serve in an acting capacity in any position under the Federal Vacancies Reform Act or any other authority;
Tulsi Gabbard is designated as a Special Government Employee (SGE) in any capacity within the Executive Branch;
Tulsi Gabbard is publicly announced by the White House or President as leading, co-leading, or serving in a formally designated leadership role within any presidential task force, commission, council, advisory body, or initiative established by executive order or presidential directive (including but not limited to entities similar to the Department of Government Efficiency); or
Tulsi Gabbard begins serving in any paid or unpaid official government position within the Executive Branch, as publicly announced by the White House.

The following do NOT constitute "joining" the Presidential Administration for purposes of this Contract:

An announcement of the President's "intent to nominate" Tulsi Gabbard that has not yet resulted in formal submission of the nomination to the U.S. Senate;
Membership on a presidential transition team prior to the President taking office;
I