Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?

16.00Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

10.00Ᵽ – 14.00Ᵽ

Call No

86.00Ᵽ – 90.00Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 11%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

10.00Ᵽ best bid · 14.00Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $19,455 volume · $523 liquidity

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

Loading…

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

Log in to trade this market.

Loading…

Bids

10.00 10.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 90.00Ᵽ · if correct: +100.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −900.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 14.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 14.00Ᵽ · if correct: +860.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −140.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Dec. 31, 2026, midnight
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.