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🏛️ Politics
General
#40124
🎯 One of 16 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 16 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 16 candidates »
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
14.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Polymarket: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $372,023 volume
👁 5 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
Price history
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Polymarket (indicative)
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Order book
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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