← All markets

Open 🤖 Pop Culture & Entertainment General #40386
🎯 One of 18 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 18 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 18 candidates »
💬 Jump to comments

Will Sabrina Carpenter release an album in 2026?

Call Yes 11Ᵽ Call No 89Ᵽ
11.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—

📡 Polymarket: 15%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $2,351 volume

🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere

Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.

Will 2 Chainz release a new album in 2026? Kalshi: 53% · 38.00Ᵽ apart
Will Frank Ocean release a new album in 2026? Kalshi: 14% · 1.00Ᵽ apart
Will Rüfüs Du Sol release a new album in 2026? Kalshi: 33% · 18.00Ᵽ apart

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

Loading…
Bids
None
Asks
None

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Resolution

Source
Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date.

Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.

Comments

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet -- be the first to say something.