Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

9.50Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

7.00Ᵽ – 11.00Ᵽ

Call No

89.00Ᵽ – 93.00Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 3%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

7.00Ᵽ best bid · 11.00Ᵽ best ask

🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $34,101 volume

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting 👁 3 views ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Bids

10.00 7.00Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 93.00Ᵽ · if correct: +70.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −930.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 11.00Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 11.00Ᵽ · if correct: +890.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −110.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC
Rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sanae Takaichi ceases to be Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Takaichi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanae Takaichi and the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.