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🏛️ Politics
General
#40633
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Jul 1, 2027?
80.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
78.00Ᵽ – 82.00Ᵽ
Call No
18.00Ᵽ – 22.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 80%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
78.00Ᵽ best bid · 82.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $2,522 volume
Price history
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from the Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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