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💵 Economy
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#40744
🎯 One of 5 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 5 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 5 candidates »
Will U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 be above 400,000?
84.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Kalshi: 84%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $1,479 volume
👁 3 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 400,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001).
The expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies.
The measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.
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