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General
#40828
🎯 One of 4 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 4 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 4 candidates »
Will the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 be exactly 1?
26.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
24.00Ᵽ – 28.00Ᵽ
Call No
72.00Ᵽ – 76.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 26%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
24.00Ᵽ best bid · 28.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $96,191 volume
Price history
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes. An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.
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