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🏛️ Politics
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#40947
🎯 One of 4 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 4 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 4 candidates »
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
2.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
1.00Ᵽ – 3.55Ᵽ
Call No
96.45Ᵽ – 99.00Ᵽ
📡 Polymarket: 0%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
1.00Ᵽ best bid · 3.55Ᵽ best ask
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $95,549 volume
Price history
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Polymarket (indicative)
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
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