Open
🏛️ Politics
General
#40949
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?
20.50Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
14.50Ᵽ – 18.50Ᵽ
Call No
81.50Ᵽ – 85.50Ᵽ
📡 Polymarket: 20%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
14.50Ᵽ best bid · 18.50Ᵽ best ask
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $5,869 volume
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…
Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.
Log in to trade this market.
Order book
Loading…
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
Log in to add your own rating.
No one's rated this yet -- be the first.
Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Comments
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet -- be the first to say something.