Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

📡 Polymarket: 0%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

April 1, 2026, 3:59 a.m.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.

Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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Think “Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?” resolved No incorrectly? 0 appeals filed so far — window closes Sept. 13, 2026, 7:53 p.m.. This doesn't decide anything by itself; staff review every appeal.

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