Will the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 22, 2026?

📡 Kalshi: 49%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 28, 2026, 3 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the first calendar day in the 2026-27 winter season on which Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) conducts Seasonal Opening Operations occurs before Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How this is resolved
Seasonal Opening Operations require at least one passenger lift to carry members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on terrain designated open for that use by Bald Mountain (Sun Valley).
The opening calendar day is determined in Eastern Time.
The season runs from September 1 through August 31 of the following year. “Before” excludes the specified date.
A name, branding, ownership, operator, or website change does not change the resort’s geographic identity.
If no Source Agency has documented Seasonal Opening Operations by expiration and there is insufficient information to determine their occurrence, the market resolves to last fair price, as determined by the Exchange in its sole discretion.
If Bald Mountain (Sun Valley) is decommissioned, the market resolves to No.

Payout criteria
Access counts only when holders of a season pass valid for the specified season can use those lifts and terrain without an additional purchase.
Free reservations and passholder-only days count.
Any number of lifts, any amount of terrain, and any operating duration count.
Only Bald Mountain at Sun Valley counts.

Doesn’t count for payout
Employee, contractor, invited-media, private-event, and separately purchased early-access or preview days do not count.
Scenic rides, mountain biking, hiking, tubing, and uphill-only access do not count.
Scheduled, projected, or announced opening dates do not count.
Opening at Dollar Mountain does not count.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Bald Mountain (Sun Valley). All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.