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#41153
🎯 One of 4 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 4 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 4 candidates »
Will Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $5/MTok in 2026?
4.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Kalshi: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $16,193 volume
👁 4 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies.
If no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.
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