Will Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash be at or below $8/MTok in 2026?

📡 Kalshi: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

April 1, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) for Google Gemini 3.5 Flash in in 2026 on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies.

If no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Google Gemini 3.5 Flash in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.