← All markets

Closed 🏛️ Politics General #41180
🎯 One of 3 candidates in the same event. This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across the 3 candidates are not required to add up to 100% -- each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work. See all 3 candidates »
💬 Jump to comments

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Nov 1, 2026?

Call Yes 6Ᵽ Call No 94Ᵽ
6.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—

📡 Kalshi: 6%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $54,566 volume

Price history

This platform
Loading…
This market isn't open for trading — the event has started.

What do you think happened?

0 say Yes 0 say No — this doesn't decide anything by itself; an admin still makes the final call.

Log in to suggest an outcome.

Resolution

Source
Kalshi ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff
Rules
If Donald Trump publicly criticizes Kevin Warsh before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this Contract, "publicly criticize" means Donald Trump must:

Make a statement that explicitly expresses disapproval, negative judgment, or unfavorable assessment of Kevin Warsh
The criticism must be directed at Kevin Warsh by name, title, or clear contextual reference that a reasonable observer would understand refers to Kevin Warsh in a clear and unambiguous manner
The statement must be negative in substance, not merely mentioning Kevin Warsh in a neutral or positive context

Criticism must be made by Trump personally, not through official statements that don't quote him directly.

Comments

Log in to join the discussion.

No comments yet -- be the first to say something.