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🏛️ Politics
General
#41623
🎯 One of 25 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 25 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 25 candidates »
Will Ilhan Omar be arrested before Jan 2027?
36.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
—
📡 Kalshi: 36%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $7,476 volume
👁 4 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
🔍 Possibly the same event elsewhere
Text-matched by question similarity, not confirmed — check before treating this as a real discrepancy.
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?
Polymarket: 5%
· 30.65Ᵽ apart
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?
Polymarket: 2%
· 34.35Ᵽ apart
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
Polymarket: 5%
· 30.90Ᵽ apart
Price history
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Bids
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Asks
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If Ilhan Omar is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied. To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
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