Will the CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT price (SMM-WU-APT-003) be above $2,250/MTU on Dec 17, 2026?

📡 Kalshi: 44%
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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 17, 2026, 4:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If the published assessment average price of CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 8:00 AM ET on Dec 17, 2026 is above $2,250/MTU, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves using the Avg. value published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) for CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT (SMM-WU-APT-003) for the assessment dated Dec 17, 2026. The selected assessment is CIF Rotterdam 88.5% APT, code SMM-WU-APT-003, available at https://www.metal.com/tungsten/202511260001. Use SMM's published Avg. in USD per MTU exactly as reported, with no conversion or independent averaging. The separate High and Low observations and the historical table's multi-date Average summary row do not govern. This assessment has weekly observations; do not assume a new price is published every day. If no assessment is published for the specified date, apply the COMMODITIES provisions for missing or delayed publication. Corrections and expiration follow COMMODITIES, including its 24-hour formal-correction provision; corrections after expiration are excluded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Shanghai Metals Market. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.