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💵 Economy
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#41716
🎯 One of 6 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 6 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 6 candidates »
Will total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 be above 690,000?
92.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
90.00Ᵽ – 94.00Ᵽ
Call No
6.00Ᵽ – 10.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 92%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
90.00Ᵽ best bid · 94.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $13,599 volume
Price history
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the California FAIR Plan reports total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 are above 690,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Underlying is the point-in-time total policies in force (PIF) reported by the California FAIR Plan Association as of September 30, 2026, including residential, commercial, and Businessowner’s Program policies. This is a policy inventory, not policies written during the year or new business.
The market remains open past September 30 because the September 30 policy count is published later, typically in the following quarterly data release. Resolution uses the first official September 30, 2026 figure; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
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