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🏛️ Politics
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#41893
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will New Hampshire US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate?
27.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
25.00Ᵽ – 29.00Ᵽ
Call No
71.00Ᵽ – 75.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 27%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
25.00Ᵽ best bid · 29.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $7,481 volume
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If New Hampshire US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
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