Will the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds for November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027 be above 1.4%?

📡 Kalshi: 8%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

6.00Ᵽ best bid · 10.00Ᵽ best ask

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 2, 2026, 2:59 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above

1.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The “fixed rate” refers only to the annual fixed-rate component assigned to Series I savings bonds when issued. It does not refer to the semiannual inflation rate or the composite interest rate.

The reported fixed rate will be used without rounding. Subsequent revisions or corrections published after the initial official announcement will not be considered