Open
💻 Tech & AI
General
#42
🎯 One of 4 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 4 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 4 candidates »
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
4.50Ᵽ
last traded
Call Yes
—
📡 Polymarket: 2%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $76,720 volume
👥 2 traders
📈 3 trades on Profet · 15.00 contracts traded
👁 8 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
Price history
This platform
Polymarket (indicative)
Loading…
Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.
Log in to trade this market.
Order book
Loading…
Bids
None
Asks
None
How much do you disagree with this price?
Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.
Log in to add your own rating.
No one's rated this yet -- be the first.
Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.
Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Comments
Log in to join the discussion.
No comments yet -- be the first to say something.