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🏛️ Politics
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#4201
🎯 One of 46 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 46 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 46 candidates »
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
6.20Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
4.45Ᵽ – 8.45Ᵽ
Call No
91.55Ᵽ – 95.55Ᵽ
📡 Polymarket: 5%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
4.45Ᵽ best bid · 8.45Ᵽ best ask
🔵 On Polymarket (at import): $10,674 volume
Price history
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Polymarket (indicative)
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Resolution
- Source
- Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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