Will Broadline Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 138?

📡 Kalshi: 5%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

3.00Ᵽ best bid · 7.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 6, 2026, 4:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If the Carbon Arc Broadline Retail Ad Spend (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 138, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 5th.

The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Broadline Retail Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.

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