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#42023
🎯 One of 3 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 3 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 3 candidates »
Will the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during Oct 2026 be at least 5?
7.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
5.00Ᵽ – 9.00Ᵽ
Call No
91.00Ᵽ – 95.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 7%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
5.00Ᵽ best bid · 9.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $42,398 volume
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If the total number of human plague cases reported in Irkutsk Oblast during Oct 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (November 8). Only cases that Rospotrebnadzor, Russia's federal public health agency, confirms after Issuance and before November 1, 2026 count. Cases newly reported during the window between November 1 and Expiration do not count, even if they are backdated to the specified time period.
A case is a human infection with Yersinia pestis (plague in any form) in Irkutsk Oblast, including a posthumous confirmation, and each infected person counts once. Suspected cases, and illness described as pneumonia of undetermined etiology, do not count.
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