Will the Narodowy Bank Polski maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Council meeting?

📡 Kalshi: 80%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

78.00Ᵽ best bid · 82.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 4, 2026, 1:59 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.