Will Minnesota US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate?

📡 Kalshi: 63%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

61.00Ᵽ best bid · 65.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 10, 2026, 3 p.m. UTC

Rules

If Minnesota US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Minnesota US Senate and Mississippi US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.