Will Treg Taylor drop out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026?

📡 Kalshi: 12%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

10.00Ᵽ best bid · 14.00Ᵽ best ask

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Nov. 3, 2026, 4:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If Treg Taylor drops out of the 2026 Alaska Governor race before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Dropped out" means any of the following:
Treg Taylor announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign
Treg Taylor files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities
Treg Taylor publicly states they are no longer seeking the office
Treg Taylor endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running
Treg Taylor is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal

The following do NOT constitute dropping out:
Losing a primary or election
Failing to qualify for debates or ballots
Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing
Being eliminated through the normal election process
Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate

Key provisions:
Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter
"Suspending" a campaign is treated as dropping out unless Treg Taylor explicitly states they remain a candidate
For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party's primary
Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot