Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Sep 15, 2027 meeting?

📡 Kalshi: 77%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

75.00Ᵽ best bid · 79.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Sept. 15, 2027, 5:55 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.50% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 15, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Sep 15, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.