Will the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 be above 6.0 million barrels/day?

📡 Kalshi: 19%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 29, 2027, 5:59 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the U.S. crude oil exports average for November 2026 is above

6.0 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is EIA’s monthly “U.S. Exports of Crude Oil” series (MCREXUS2) for November 2026. EIA reports this figure in thousand barrels per day, which will be divided by 1,000 to convert to million barrels per day. The first published monthly figure will be used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. Weekly figures and forecasts are excluded.