Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027?

📡 Kalshi: 26%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

24.00Ᵽ best bid · 28.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If Gyanesh Kumar leaves as Chief Election Commissioner of India before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Gyanesh Kumar must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.

For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.