Will the U.S. government sue Ilhan Omar to revoke her U.S. citizenship before 2027?

📡 Kalshi: 48%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

46.00Ᵽ best bid · 50.00Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Jan. 1, 2027, 3 p.m. UTC

Rules

If the U.S. government sues Ilhan Omar to revoke her U.S. citizenship before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

The following also count:
A federal criminal charge for unlawfully procuring her naturalization or citizenship, including a false statement made to obtain it (such as under 18 U.S.C. 1425), or a conspiracy to do so
A USCIS or DHS notice of intent to cancel her certificate of citizenship, certificate of naturalization, or another citizenship document or record (8 U.S.C. 1453)
A removal, civil or immigration-court proceeding brought by the U.S. government asserting that she is not a U.S. citizen

The following do NOT count:
Public statements or announcements of intent
Search warrants, grand jury subpoenas, target letters and seizures of property
The opening or continuation of an investigation
Passport actions
Proceedings Omar brings, even if the government contests her citizenship in them
Other criminal charges, including charges for later claims of citizenship such as passport or voting statements