Will Sherrod Brown's Senate margin minus Amy Acton's governor margin be between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election?

📡 Kalshi: 12%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 7, 2026, 2:59 p.m. UTC

Rules

If Sherrod Brown's margin in the Ohio U.S. Senate special election minus Amy Acton's margin in the Ohio governor election is between 0.01 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.