Will Vance become a Category 4 hurricane?

📡 Kalshi: 1%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

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Source

Kalshi ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 2, 2026, 4:59 a.m. UTC

Rules

If Vance reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.

Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.