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🏛️ Politics
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#42698
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin be larger than Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?
37.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
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📡 Kalshi: 37%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $6,369 volume
👁 2 views
⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election minus Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their U.S. Senate race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Hinson Yes.
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