UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

📡 Polymarket: 4%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

2.35Ᵽ best bid · 6.35Ᵽ best ask

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Source

Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 31, 2026, 7:59 p.m. UTC

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Saudi Arabia formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.