Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

📡 Polymarket: 3%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

3.50Ᵽ best bid · 7.50Ᵽ best ask

Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

Log in to trade this market.

Order book

How much do you disagree with this price?

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

Log in to add your own rating.

No one's rated this yet -- be the first.

Source

Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source

Event cutoff

Dec. 31, 2026, 7:59 p.m. UTC

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.