Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

83.50Ᵽ

seed price — no trades yet

Call Yes

80.50Ᵽ – 84.50Ᵽ

Call No

15.50Ᵽ – 19.50Ᵽ

📡 Polymarket: 82%
Two different numbers on purpose: Polymarket's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.

80.50Ᵽ best bid · 84.50Ᵽ best ask

🌐 On Polymarket right now: $194,443 volume · $8,217 liquidity

💰 20.00 contract(s) resting ⚡ Instant liquidity via Quick Bet

Price history

This platform Polymarket (indicative)

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Polymarket's price is shown for reference only -- this platform's own order book sets its own price, and the two can diverge.

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Bids

10.00 80.50Ᵽ Log in

Call No 10.00 @ 19.50Ᵽ · if correct: +805.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −195.00Ᵽ

Asks

10.00 84.50Ᵽ Log in

Call Yes 10.00 @ 84.50Ᵽ · if correct: +155.00Ᵽ · if wrong: −845.00Ᵽ

Pick 1 (barely) to 5 (strongly) -- a pure sentiment vote, not a trade, not tied to credits.

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Source: Polymarket (via UMA optimistic oracle) ✓ Verified source
Event cutoff: Jan. 1, 2027, 4:59 a.m.
Rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.

For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.