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🏛️ Politics
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#43198
🎯 One of 2 candidates in the same event.
This market trades and resolves entirely on its own -- buying Yes here pays out only if
this specific outcome happens, regardless of what happens to the others. Prices across
the 2 candidates are not required to add up to 100% --
each one is priced independently, the same way Kalshi/Polymarket's own multi-candidate events work.
See all 2 candidates »
Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 5 and 10 points?
12.00Ᵽ
seed price — no trades yet
Call Yes
10.00Ᵽ – 14.00Ᵽ
Call No
86.00Ᵽ – 90.00Ᵽ
📡 Kalshi: 12%
Two different numbers on purpose: Kalshi's is the outside reference, Profet's is what actually moves credits here.
10.00Ᵽ best bid · 14.00Ᵽ best ask
🟢 On Kalshi (at import): $8,523 volume
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Resolution
- Source
- Kalshi ✓ Verified source
- Event cutoff
- Rules
- If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 5 and 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.
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